September 18, 2009

Is Obama Pushing Israel Toward War?

As was discussed on this blog recently, the conflict between Israel and Iran/Russia has arguably already commenced, but has not yet reached a fevered pitch. Interestingly, a recent Wall Street Journal piece titled, "Obama is Pushing Israel Toward War" discusses the Israel-Iran situation. The author of the piece, Bret Stephens, trying to reason through why President Obama is not more actively involved in the critical situation of a nuclear-armed Iran.

According to Stephens, Israel has reached the decision that Obama is not going to lift a finger to stop Iran nor will the "International Community." Stephens also notes that Israel has even been trying to "goad" the U.S. into dealing with Iran, but the U.S. isn't taking the bait. So we have to wonder why. Stephens suggests the answer to why is, "Perhaps it thinks its diplomacy will work, or that it has the luxury of time, or that it can talk the Israelis out of attacking. Alternatively, it might actually want Israel to attack without inviting the perception that it has colluded with it. Or maybe it isn't really paying attention."

Moshe Dann, in his piece, "Sacrificing Israel," on, suggests that Obama will use Israel as a scapegoat. Dann, says, "President Obama knows that, short of military intervention, nothing will prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear power. Making Israeli concessions the key to stopping Iran, therefore, allows Obama a perfect excuse: Israel didn't do enough; it's Israel's fault."

Consider this, not only could Israel be used as a scapegoat for Obama in the Middle East as Dann suggests, but Israel could also be used as a scapegoat domestically. If Israel attacks the Iranian nuclear sites, undoubtedly oil prices will soar causing prices at the pump to soar. And since things are already bad and getting worse in the American economy, a major conflict in the Middle East could be a rather convenient tool for Obama in more ways than one. Hopefully none of these speculations are true, but it sure makes one wonder.

September 1, 2009

Iran now has enough Uranium to build 2 bombs!

Popular author and speaker, Joel Rosenberg, wrote on his blog today that Iran now has enough Uranium to build 2 bombs. Interestingly, as we discussed on this blog as early as February of this year The Financial Times reported that Iran had acquired enough Uranium for a bomb. If both reports are accurate then Iran has accumulated enough material for its second nuclear weapon since February 2009. Couple this with the fact that Iran recently test fired missiles capable of reaching Israel and U.S. bases in Europe and you have something that should be a major concern to everyone.

To go along with this, Debkafile is reporting this week that the U.S. may install a missile defense system in Israel and Turkey instead of in Eastern Europe. Debkafile also reports this week that the U.S. Air Force is speeding up its production of bunker buster bombs.

Israel was also the focus of another interesting news item recently. Israel’s recent historically huge natural gas discovery is now estimated to be 16% larger than the original and subsequent revised estimates.

There is some talk of an inevitable Iran-Israel war. A credible argument can be made, however, that that conflict has already begun, but it is Israel facing not just Iran, but also Russia. If you recall, when Russia invaded Georgia last year they captured an Israeli air base in Georgia, but it was Israel and the Georgian army that stopped the advancing Russian forces from taking the capital of South Ossedia. And then not too long after that Israel destroyed an Iranian arms shipment in Sudan headed to Hamas in Gaza. Another recent development is that Russia with Iran’s assistance has established a good sized naval presence in the Gulf region. So, it appears that the conflict has begun, but it has not reached a fevered pitch yet.